中国人口·资源与环境Issue(5):1-9,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2015.05.001
中国生态文明发展水平的空间差异与趋同性
Regional Difference and Convergence of Ecological Civilization Level in China
摘要
Abstract
This article constructed the evaluation index system of ecological civilization from four aspects, including the optimized layout of national land space, the economical and intensive use of resources and energy, the protection of ecological environment and the construction of ecological civilization system. Besides, the article caloulated the integrated score of 31 provinces during the period from 2003 to 2012 from both static and dynamic angle with the Dynamic Factor Analysis Method, and it also applied the methods of spatial autocorrelation to analyze the evolution space of ecological civilization development. As the result shows, the scores of various provinces are from 0. 36 to 0. 84. Among all 31 provinces, Guangdong performances the best, while Tibet is the worst. The dynamic scores of eastern, middle and western region are 0. 43, 0. 03 and-0. 18, which means that the ecological civilization development level from coastal to inland decreases gradually. According to the gerenal spatial autocorrelation analysis, the gerenal Moran’s I value is positive significantly from 2003 to 2012, ranging from 0. 234 to 0. 276, which shows a significant agglomeration of ecological civilization in space. The local spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that more than 80% provinces present positive correlation significantly. Specifically, H-H gathering areaes are mainly distributed in Beijing, Tianjin and the Yangtze River Delta region of eastern part, and L-L gathering areaes are mainly distributed in the central and western regions. In the process of future development, the protection system of ecological environment and the management level should be improved constantly. At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the exchange and cooperation between the midwest and the eastern regions, and to strengthen regional coordination development. The eastern region’s ecological civilization should be in sustainable development. The development level of ecological civilization in the middle and western areas can be improved continually benifiting from the drive of east part.关键词
生态文明/发展水平/动态因子分析/空间自相关/收敛性分析Key words
ecological civilization/level/dynamic analysis/spatial autocorrelation/convergence analysis分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
成金华,李悦,陈军..中国生态文明发展水平的空间差异与趋同性[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,(5):1-9,9.基金项目
国家社科基金重大项目“我国资源环境问题的区域差异和生态文明指标体系研究”(编号:11&ZD040) (编号:11&ZD040)
国家社科基金一般项目“我国工业化与生态文明建设研究”(编号:11BKS045),“我国生态文明区域协同发展的动力机制研究”(编号:12CKS022)。 (编号:11BKS045)