中国人口·资源与环境Issue(5)：28-34,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2015.05.004
中美贸易的经济溢出效应及碳泄漏研究
Study on the Effect of Sino-US Trade on Global Economic Growth and Carbon Leakage
高雪 1李惠民 2齐晔3
作者信息
- 1. 清华大学公共管理学院，北京100084
- 2. 清华大学气候政策研究中心，北京100084
- 3. 北京建筑大学北京应对气候变化研究和人才培养基地，北京100044
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
While international trade can promote economic growth, it also has a complex effect on the environment. This empirical paper analyzed the effect of Sino-US trade on economic spillover and carbon leakage from 2002 to 2011. The results show that Sino-US trade significantly promotes economic growth of both China and the U. S. and globally, and significantly increases global carbon emissions. During the period of 2002 and 2011, Sino-US trade increased the total world economy by 30. 205 billion US dollars. At the same time, global carbon emissions increased from 78. 1 MMTCO2 in 2002 to 401. 96 MMTCO2 in 2011. Total additional global carbon emissions because of Sino-US trade were 3,464. 78 MMTCO2 from 2002 to 2011. Moreover, economic benefit per unit of additional carbon emissions in Sino-US trade decreased. The economic benefit per tonne of carbon leakage from Sino-US trade was 0. 28 US dollars in 2002 but dropped by 70 percent to 0. 08 US dollars in 2011. Since trade plays a significant and complex role in the process of globalization, policy makers must consider both the economic and environmental effects in future trade policy designs.关键词
中美贸易/经济溢出/碳泄漏/碳排放效率Key words
Sino-US trade/economic spillover/carbon leakage/carbon emission efficiency分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
高雪,李惠民,齐晔..中美贸易的经济溢出效应及碳泄漏研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,(5):28-34,7.
