灾害学Issue(3)：1-10,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2014.03.001
旱灾风险评估的初步理论框架
Theoretical Framework of Drought Risk Assessment
摘要
Abstract
Drought risk assessment is one of the most important basic researches on the quantitative under-standing of the mechanism of drought risk and scientific control of drought risk,which is of great significance in the theory and practice of drought risk management.According to the formation mechanism of drought risk,the drought risk system consisted of disaster hazard,damage sensitivity,drought exposure and drought resistance capacity is proposed and systematically expounded based on the analysis of the basic concepts of drought risk assessment.On the basis of the drought risk system,methodology and theoretical model of drought risk assessment are put forward. And then,the method system of drought risk assessment consisted of drought hazard analysis,drought vulnerability analysis,drought loss risk analysis,drought risk assessment,drought risk decision analysis is established.Mean-while,the application mode system of drought risk assessment is established,which is consisted of all kinds of the-matic maps related to drought risk such as drought frequency-drought loss diagram,spatial distribution maps of drought frequency,drought loss and drought hazard,as well as the hazard zoning map of drought risk.The prelimi-nary theoretical framework of drought risk assessment,which is consisted of drought risk system,methodology and theoretical model of drought risk assessment,method system of drought risk assessment and its application mode system,has reference and application value in other natural disaster risk assessments.关键词
旱灾风险评估/理论框架/旱灾风险系统/方法论/理论模式/应用模式Key words
drought risk assessment/theoretical framework/drought risk system/methodology/theoretical model/application mode分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
金菊良,郦建强,周玉良,费振宇,蒋尚明,袁潇晨,何君..旱灾风险评估的初步理论框架[J].灾害学,2014,(3):1-10,10.基金项目
水利部重大基建前期项目“全国干旱区划及旱灾风险评估研究”；国家自然科学基金项目（71273081，41171075，51109052）；水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目（201001043）；中国气象局成都高原气象开放实验室基金课题 （）
