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基于PPD的辽宁省暴雨灾害风险分析

王菜林 任学慧 李颖 郭恩亮

灾害学Issue(1):217-221,5.
灾害学Issue(1):217-221,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2015.01.040

基于PPD的辽宁省暴雨灾害风险分析

Analysis on Rainstorm Disaster Risk in Liaoning Province Based on PPD Model

王菜林 1任学慧 1李颖 2郭恩亮3

作者信息

  • 1. 辽宁师范大学 城市与环境学院,辽宁 大连116029
  • 2. 北京师范大学 地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室,北京100875
  • 3. 东北师范大学 环境科学学院 自然灾害研究所,吉林 长春130024
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to the data of daily precipitation and rainstorm disaster loss in 1 976 -2006 of Liaoning province and based on the theory of natural disaster risk,the probability of occurrence of different levels rainstorm are analyzed by PPD model.Acquiring index of rain storm disaster by establishing damage index system,combined with ArcGIS Technology,assessment and regionalization of rainstorm disaster risk of Liaoning province are done. Results show that:①The possibility of occurrence of in Liaoning Province decrease as the rainstorm level increase. Level 1 to level 4 is mainly detected but level 5 is merely detected,furthermore,the property of rain storm from level 2 to level 5 is mainly decreased from southeast to northwest (level 1 decrease from northwest to southeast);②As for the whole province,the risk of rainstorm disaster and loss is grandly coincided with features of attributions, which is increasing from north to south,from west to east,decrease from southeast to northwest;③PPD model is suitable to calculate possibility of factors of disaster in that the consequence of research based on this is coincidence with risks of Liaoning rain storm.

关键词

暴雨灾害/风险/PPD/ArcGIS/辽宁省

Key words

rainstorm disaster/risk/PPD model/ArcGIS/Liaoning province

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

王菜林,任学慧,李颖,郭恩亮..基于PPD的辽宁省暴雨灾害风险分析[J].灾害学,2015,(1):217-221,5.

基金项目

全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划(2010CB951102);国家自然科学基金项目 ()

灾害学

OACSCDCSTPCD

1000-811X

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