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基于可变模糊集理论的珠江三角洲水资源可再生性评价

谭圣林 周月英 梁剑喜 卓文珊 卢巧慧 刘祖发

中山大学学报(自然科学版)Issue(5):126-133,8.
中山大学学报(自然科学版)Issue(5):126-133,8.

基于可变模糊集理论的珠江三角洲水资源可再生性评价

Water Resources Renewability Assessment for Pearl River Delta Based on Variable Fuzzy Sets Theory

谭圣林 1周月英 2梁剑喜 2卓文珊 3卢巧慧 2刘祖发2

作者信息

  • 1. 北京大学 城市人居环境科学与技术实验室,广东 深圳518055
  • 2. 中山大学 华南地区水循环与水安全广东省普通高校重点实验室,广东 广州510275
  • 3. 中山市水务局,广东 中山528403
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Water resources renewability (WRR)determines water resources sustainability.Facing the increasing serious water resources pressure over the Pearl River Delta (PRD),this paper,constructed a multi-hierarchy and multi-index WRR assessment system and developed an assessment model based on variable fuzzy sets theory,by which the WRR level of PRD was assessed.The results show that the WRR levels of nine cities in the PRD all belong to level II,with Shenzhen and Zhaoqing being the strongest while Foshan and Dongguan being the weakest.Particularly,the WRR levels of Zhongshan,one of the nine cities,are determined by its social WRR levels and go down first then up from 2001 to 2012.The assessment results of different methods show that Grey Relation Analysis and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evalu-ation have almost the same results.Variable Fuzzy Evaluation gives results with one level lower than those of the above two methods,since it calculates membership grades more finely and inclines to give lower level assessment.Genetic Projection Pursuit Method produces unreasonable results when sample data vary tremendously,thus making it not applicable for assessment of WRR levels of the nine cities in the PRD. In addition,a stricter standard system was constructed based on national data and data of the PRD.Un-der that system,the WRR levels of nine cities of the PRD were all assessed as level III.The stricter as-sessment results are likely to promote measures to increase WRR of the PRD.

关键词

水资源/水资源可再生性评价/可变模糊集/珠江三角洲

Key words

water resources/water resources renewability assessment/variable fuzzy sets theory/Pearl River Delta

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

谭圣林,周月英,梁剑喜,卓文珊,卢巧慧,刘祖发..基于可变模糊集理论的珠江三角洲水资源可再生性评价[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),2014,(5):126-133,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目 ()

中山大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0529-6579

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