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基于多因素灰色模型的技术技能型人才需求预测与分析--以天津市为例

田楠

职业技术教育Issue(19):43-48,6.
职业技术教育Issue(19):43-48,6.

基于多因素灰色模型的技术技能型人才需求预测与分析--以天津市为例

Analysis and Prediction of Demand for Technological and Skilled Talents Based on Multi-factor Gray Model--In the case of Tianjin

田楠1

作者信息

  • 1. 天津广播电视大学,天津 300191
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The development of modern vocational education is based on the forecasting of technology and skilled talents demand.Based on the gray forecasting model and linear regression model,multi-factor gray forecasting model of technolo-gy and skilled talents demand is built on the first industry,second industry and third industry,investment in fixed assets, social total increment of labor resources,the port of import and export.The situation and development trend of technology and skilled talents demand in 2013-2015 is predicted.The results show that the technology and skilled talents demand and regional economic development has a certain relationship,but the effects of rising labor costs and others make the third industry for technical talents demand showing“weakening”phenomenon.

关键词

多因素灰色预测/技术技能型人才/需求预测/天津

Key words

multi-factor gray forecasting/technological and skilled talents/talents demand/Tianjin

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

田楠..基于多因素灰色模型的技术技能型人才需求预测与分析--以天津市为例[J].职业技术教育,2014,(19):43-48,6.

职业技术教育

OA北大核心

1008-3219

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