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基于 GAM 的阿根廷滑柔鱼 CPUE 与环境因子关系分析

李德伟 张龙 王洋 朱文斌

渔业现代化Issue(4):56-61,6.
渔业现代化Issue(4):56-61,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-9580.2015.04.013

基于 GAM 的阿根廷滑柔鱼 CPUE 与环境因子关系分析

Study on the relationship between Illex argentinus CPUE and environmental factors based on GAM

李德伟 1张龙 1王洋 1朱文斌1

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江省海洋水产研究所,农业部重点渔场渔业资源科学观测实验站,浙江省海洋渔业资源可持续利用技术研究重点实验室,浙江舟山316021
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摘要

Abstract

Based on the capture data of Argentina offshore in summer and autumn of 2013 , combined with the data of environment including date, space, SST, water depth, flow velocity, etc, we established generalized additive models ( GAM) with Illex argentinus catches per unit fishing effort ( CPUE) , temporal spatial factors and environmental factors to study the relationship among them. The results showed that GAM of the accumulation explained for CPUE was 56.10%, there were four factors affecting on the CPUE greatly, which were operation date, SST, depth and flow velocity.According to the Akaike information criterion ( AIC ) guidelines, the optimal model included these four significant variables, its PCf ( pseudo coefficient) value was 0.487, and AIC value was 660.688, which indicated that the model has a better fitness. Among environmental factors, the relationship between depth and the CPUE of studied area was most closely, the appropriate depth of Illex argentinus fishing grounds was 250-500 meters, suitable SST ranged from 8-14 ℃, and the optimum SST was 12-14 ℃.Stepped GAM model analysis showed that influencing factors of CPUE was date, depth, SST and flow velocity according to their importance.

关键词

阿根廷滑柔鱼/西南大西洋/广义加性模型( GAM)/资源评估

Key words

Illex argentines/summer and autumn/GAM/Southwest Atlantic Ocean

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

李德伟,张龙,王洋,朱文斌..基于 GAM 的阿根廷滑柔鱼 CPUE 与环境因子关系分析[J].渔业现代化,2015,(4):56-61,6.

基金项目

2013年西南大西洋滑柔鱼资源探捕项目 ()

渔业现代化

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1007-9580

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