沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）Issue(4)：304-311,8.DOI:10.7688/j.issn.1674-0823.2015.04.04
基于ICRG的中国海外投资国家风险评价方法∗
Country risk evaluation methods of overseas investment of China based on ICRG
摘要
Abstract
In the process of acquiring “two kinds of resources and two kinds of markets” through “going out”, Chinese enterprises have experienced a lot of country risks. The evaluation methods of country risk faced by overseas investment of China are explored, and the evaluating system of country risk of overseas investment is established, which includes 3 first-level indicators of political risks, economic risks, financial risks and 22 second-level indicators. After integrating the judgments on the status quo of domestic experts through expert scoring, the weights of first-level and second-level indicators are decided by applying the thoughts of analytic hierarchy process. The scores of country risks of 140 countries and regions are calculated by using the original data of ICRG in January, 2014, and conclusions are drawn with practical significance to Chinese enterprises. The level of country risks of Asian countries and regions is irregular, the level of country risks of European countries and regions is the lowest, the level of country risks of Africa countries and regions is the highest, and the level of country risks of American countries and regions is stable; the low risk countries and regions are mainly in Asia and Europe, including 67% developed countries and regions and 33% developing countries and regions. Finally, suggestions are proposed on overseas investment of Chinese enterprises.关键词
海外投资/国家风险/政治风险/经济风险/金融风险/风险评价/国际国别风险指南( ICRG)Key words
overseas investment/country risk/political risk/economic risk/financial risk/risk evaluation/International Country Risk Guide ( ICRG)分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
..基于ICRG的中国海外投资国家风险评价方法∗[J].沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）,2015,(4):304-311,8.基金项目
沈阳市科技计划项目(F12-276-5-11)。 （F12-276-5-11）
