运筹与管理Issue(4)：172-177,6.
考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估方法
Supply Risk Evaluation Method Considering Risk Propagation
摘要
Abstract
In this paper, a method for supply risk evaluation based on Bayesian network is proposed to solve the supply risk evaluation problem considering the risk propagation.In this method, firstly, a Bayesian network is constructed via identifying key risk factors which may cause the supply risk of each node enterprise.According to Bayes formula, the probability of supply risk considering the risk propagation is calculated.On this basis, supply risk is evaluated considering the risk propagation.Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the proposed method.关键词
风险评估/供应风险/贝叶斯网络/风险传导Key words
risk evaluation/supply risk/Bayesian network/risk propagation分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
张川,杨文雯,于超..考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估方法[J].运筹与管理,2015,(4):172-177,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71271051）；辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究基地专项项目 （）
