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Hilbert-Huang变换在民航客运量预测中的算法研究

潘卫军 潘月晓 卢国盼 曾琛

计算机与现代化Issue(9):46-49,4.
计算机与现代化Issue(9):46-49,4.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-2475.2015.09.010

Hilbert-Huang变换在民航客运量预测中的算法研究

Algorithm of Hilbert-Huang Transform in Forecast of Passenger and Freight Volume

潘卫军 1潘月晓 1卢国盼 1曾琛1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院,四川 广汉 618307
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of non-stationary time series, the paper used Empirical Mode Decomposi-tion( EMD) method of Hilbert-Huang transform theory to decompose non-stationary time series into several IMF components of single frequency. Using the neural network model to predict IMF, the prediction results are reconstructed and weighted. The ac-curacy of prediction will be improved. It can also predict the transport volume in a certain period of time on the basis of the histor-ical passenger data. The experimental results show that the improved algorithm is better than the neural network method, etc.

关键词

Hilbert-Huang变换/预测精度/经验模态分解/时间序列/神经网络

Key words

Hilbert-Huang transform/prediction accuracy/Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMO)/time series/neural network

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

潘卫军,潘月晓,卢国盼,曾琛..Hilbert-Huang变换在民航客运量预测中的算法研究[J].计算机与现代化,2015,(9):46-49,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金委员会与中国民用航空局联合资助项目( U1433126) ( U1433126)

中国民航局科技资助项目(MHRD20130213) (MHRD20130213)

民航安全能力建设基金资助项目(XN2013003) (XN2013003)

计算机与现代化

OACSTPCD

1006-2475

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