科学与管理2015，Vol.35Issue(4)：27-34,40,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn1003-8256.2015.04.004
基于VEC模型的全国与主产区羊肉价格传导与整合研究
A Integration and Conduction Study on Mutton Prices Between the Main Producing Regions and the Whole Country Based on VEC Model
摘要
Abstract
This paper is based on VEC model and mutton prices of major provinces in the four Favorable regions and whole country during the past decade, using unit root test, Johansen-Juselius cointegration test, Granger causality test to obtain model estimation results for impulse response analysis and variance decomposition, then making a detailed study on the Favorable regions and the national mutton prices. The results show that: domestic mutton market tends to integrate in the regional integration, in front of the industrial chain, mutton price perform a stable cointegration; in the degree of integration in mutton price, the Central Plains region and the Favorable regions of Northwest and Southwest are higher than the Eastern Pastoral Transitional Zone; compared to agricultural areas, mutton prices of main pastoral areas influence more obvious about the national mutton price; mutton prices in main provinces of the Central Plains region, the Eastern Pastoral Transitional Zone and the Favorable regions of Northwest explain changes in national mutton price comprehensivly; in the process of mutton price formation, pastoral areas in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Gansu, and agricultural areas in Hebei are significantly higher than other provinces.关键词
羊肉价格/整合/传导/优势产区/VEC模型Key words
Mutton price/Integration/Conduction/Favorable regions/VEC model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王士权,常倩,李秉龙..基于VEC模型的全国与主产区羊肉价格传导与整合研究[J].科学与管理,2015,35(4):27-34,40,9.基金项目
农业部、财政部国家现代肉羊产业技术体系项目(CARS-39) （CARS-39）
