南方能源建设Issue(3)：28-33,6.DOI:10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2015.03.005
南方电网风电功率预测系统应用扩展研究
Research on the Flexible Performance of Wind Power Forecast System in China Southern Power Grid
陈东 1雷金勇2
作者信息
- 1. 广东电网电力调度控制中心，广州510600
- 2. 南方电网科学研究院有限责任公司，广州510080
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Compared with the large wind farms in the north which are built in the relatively flat inland area, wind farms located in CSG(China Southern Power Grid) are built in the relatively complex terrain environment, such as onshore or hilly areas, which chal-lenges the performance of wind power forecast system ( WPFS) greatly.The purpose of the wind power forecasting system applica-tion research is to keep the forecasting precision of the system in the complex and changeable scene and meet the requirement by the users.This paper presents the solution to flexibility of WPFS based on the analysis of typical wind resource and wind power character-istics over CSG, and the actual arrangements and user requirements for WPFS as well.Then the framework of forecasting flexibility is proposed according to the three main technical links of WPFS: multiple data inputs, forecasting modeling and forecasting results'forms, providing guidance for the building of WPFS and forecasting precision improvement in view of engineering.To illustrate the i-dea in detail, historical data of wind farms in CSG is used as displaying samples for discussion.关键词
风电功率预测/应用扩展/预测精度/南方电网Key words
wind power forecast/flexibility performance/prediction accuracy/China Southern Power Grid分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
陈东,雷金勇..南方电网风电功率预测系统应用扩展研究[J].南方能源建设,2015,(3):28-33,6.
