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岩土工程参数Bayes法推断中先验与后验样本大小的探讨

曾晟 徐华清 张家男 马青叶

南华大学学报(自然科学版)Issue(3):30-33,4.
南华大学学报(自然科学版)Issue(3):30-33,4.

岩土工程参数Bayes法推断中先验与后验样本大小的探讨

Discussion of Priori and Posteriori Sample’s Number of the Geotechnical Parameters with the Bayes Inference Method

曾晟 1徐华清 1张家男 2马青叶3

作者信息

  • 1. 南华大学 核资源工程学院,湖南 衡阳421001
  • 2. 云南金沙矿业股份有限公司汤丹公司,云南 昆明650000
  • 3. 广东悉筑建筑设计有限公司,广东 茂名525000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

There are some information problems between priori and posteriori sample’s number according to the Bayes inference method for geotechnical parameters. When solving the engineering problems,the acquisition of priori and posteriori distribution is determined by the number of the sample,and the project fee must be paid while getting the sample number. The simplified Bayesian inference method has been put to apply to analyzing the priori and posteriori sample number of geotechnical parameters. According to the analysis of geotechnical parameters,the conclusion has been gotten as following. The calculated er-ror of statistical parameters’ mean and variance is minimum when the number of priori sam-ples and posteriori samples reaches to 30~50 and posteriori sample number is no less than 4 . This dissertation provides references for the determination of geotechnical engineering mechanics parameters of sample number of probability and statistics.

关键词

岩土力学参数/Bayes法/先验样本/后验样本/样本大小

Key words

geotechnical parameters/BAYES method/prior sample/posterior sample/sam-ple number

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

曾晟,徐华清,张家男,马青叶..岩土工程参数Bayes法推断中先验与后验样本大小的探讨[J].南华大学学报(自然科学版),2015,(3):30-33,4.

南华大学学报(自然科学版)

1673-0062

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