电测与仪表2015，Vol.52Issue(19)：106-111,6.
蒙特卡洛方法在电力系统静态安全风险评估中的应用
Application of Monte carlo methods in power system static security risk assessment
张忠会 1李玉婷 1何乐彰 2姚峰3
作者信息
- 1. 南昌大学信息工程学院,南昌 330031
- 2. 国网上饶供电公司,江西上饶 334000
- 3. 河南省电力公司,郑州 450052
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Considering the fault probability and the severity of the fault together based on the risk treory, the paper used the non-sequential Monte Carlo method to extract the fault status of the system, analyzed the static security of the power system by the loss-load risk indicator, the voltage off-limited risk indicator and the overload risk indicator,and used 3-scaled analytic hierarchy process to determine the relationship of weight between the single risk value and the comprehensive risk value.It also discussed the application of the indicators, analyzed and calculated the risk indica-tors of a real gird in Henan province.The example showed that the power system static security risk assessment based on the Monte Carlo method is feasible, which can quantitatively provide the level of systemic risk and also some useful reference for power system static security risk analysis study.关键词
MonteCarlo/静态安全/风险评估/风险理论/层次分析法Key words
Monte Carlo/static security/risk assessment/risk theory/analytic hierarchy process分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
张忠会,李玉婷,何乐彰,姚峰..蒙特卡洛方法在电力系统静态安全风险评估中的应用[J].电测与仪表,2015,52(19):106-111,6.
