大连理工大学学报Issue(4)：490-496,7.
我国产业部门 CO2排放特征及其影响因素模型研究
Modeling research on CO2 emissions characteristics and its influence factors of China′s industrial sectors
摘要
Abstract
Research on CO2 emissions characteristics of industrial sectors in China and their influencing factors is important for China′s greenhouse gas emissions reduction .The CO2 emissions from energy consumption of China′s three industries ,the secondary industry ,light industry ,heavy industry and industrial trades ,are calculated on the basis of the statistical data from 1990 to 2011 . T he factors influencing the CO2 emissions of industrial sectors are decomposed into economy factor , structure factor ,efficiency factor and emission factor through the complete decomposition model .And then ,the effects of these factors over years are quantitatively analyzed .The analytical results show that ,firstly ,China′s industrial sectors′CO2 emissions are mainly from the secondary industry w hose emissions are from industry mostly .And further ,the industry′s CO2 emissions are mostly from heavy industry ,such as these six major trades (processing of petroleum ,coking ,processing of nuclear fuel industry ,manufacture of raw chemical materials and chemicals ,manufacture of non‐metallic mineral products ,smelting and pressing of ferrous metals , smelting and pressing of non‐ferrous metals , production and supply of electric power and heat power ) .Secondly ,economy factor contributes to the CO2 emissions increase .Structure factor and emission factor play an insignificant role in CO 2 emissions reduction .China′s CO2 emissions reduction relies mainly on efficiency factor during the inspection period .Finally ,changing the mode of economic growth is an effective way to slow down the rapid grow th of China′s CO2 emissions .So structure adjustment of industries and trades will be the key to China′s emissions reduction in future .关键词
产业部门/碳排放/因素分解/模型研究Key words
industrial sectors/CO2 emissions/decomposition/modeling分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
宁亚东,丁涛,张春博..我国产业部门 CO2排放特征及其影响因素模型研究[J].大连理工大学学报,2013,(4):490-496,7.基金项目
教育部留学回国人员科学研究资助专项（2011年）；海洋能源利用与节能教育部重点实验室开放课题基金资助项目（LOEC-201006）． （）
