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气候谈判集团的演化过程与演变趋势分析

牟初夫 王礼茂

工程研究-跨学科视野中的工程Issue(3):132-140,9.
工程研究-跨学科视野中的工程Issue(3):132-140,9.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1224.2015.00232

气候谈判集团的演化过程与演变趋势分析

Evolution Process and Trend of Climate Negotiation Groups

牟初夫 1王礼茂2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101
  • 2. 中国科学院大学,北京 100049
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study systematically analyzed the development and evolution process of climate negotiation groups, and divided its evolution process into four stages according to the characteristics of different stages. Then we summarized the factors that influenced the standpoint of members of climate negotiation groups from three aspects——political intervention, science cognition and driving interest. On the basis of the above, we analyzed the future evolution trend of the European Union, the Umbrella Group and the Group of 77 plus China and drew the following conclusions: (1) the existing three Climate negotiation groups will show differentiated trends; (2) mutual interests will be the key to the future recombination of climate negotiation groups; (3) regional and cross-regional cooperation organizations begin to play a role in climate cooperation and influence the evolution of climate negotiation groups.

关键词

气候谈判集团/演化过程/演变趋势

Key words

climate negotiation groups/evolution process/evolution trend

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

牟初夫,王礼茂..气候谈判集团的演化过程与演变趋势分析[J].工程研究-跨学科视野中的工程,2015,(3):132-140,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41171110);中国科学院战略性先导科技专项 ()

工程研究-跨学科视野中的工程

OACSCDCSTPCD

1674-4969

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