电力系统保护与控制Issue(1)：102-108,7.
风光互补综合发电系统可靠性分析
Reliability analysis of wind and photovoltaic integrated generating system
摘要
Abstract
According to the natural complementarity of wind and solar energy in time and geography, the influences of wind-PV complementary on the system adequacy are calculated in typical summer and winter days while the forced outage of conventional generating units is also considered. The influences are presented in two aspects: seasonal and diurnal. A new energy effective load carrying capacity (N-ELCC) is defined to describe the load carrying capacity of the generating system containing new energy. Variability of N-ELCC from the changes of the wind-PV capacity ratio is analyzed, as well as the effects of N-ELCC on the static reserve capacity. Results show that system adequacy and reliability vary with the wind-PV capacity ratio, the alternation of day and night as well as seasons. Finally, a new energy power generation proposal is proposed scientifically considering the regional climate and environment of the case. The proposal can reduce the reserve investment and improve the economy on the premise of the assurance of reliability. This work is supported by National High-tech R&D Program of China (863 Program) (No. 2011AA050203), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51177143) and Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (No. Y1100243 & No. LZ12E07002).关键词
风光互补/新能源有效带载能力/储能/可靠性/序贯蒙特卡洛仿真Key words
wind-PV integrated system/ELCC/energy storage/reliability/sequential Monte-Carlo simulation分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
郭创新,张理,张金江,宗明,朱钦..风光互补综合发电系统可靠性分析[J].电力系统保护与控制,2013,(1):102-108,7.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(2011AA050203) （863计划）
国家自然科学基金项目(51177143) （51177143）
浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(Y1100243和 LZ12E07002) （Y1100243和 LZ12E07002）
