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基于CREAM的电网人为可靠性定量分析方法

陆海波 王媚 郭创新 俞斌

电力系统保护与控制Issue(5):37-42,6.
电力系统保护与控制Issue(5):37-42,6.

基于CREAM的电网人为可靠性定量分析方法

A quantitative method for human reliability in power system based on CREAM

陆海波 1王媚 2郭创新 1俞斌1

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江 杭州 310027
  • 2. 上海市电力公司检修公司,上海 200031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Nowadays, the reliability analysis of the power system mainly concentrates on the power transmission and transformation equipment or power delivery, but the analysis of human reliability is few. First of all, the concept of human operation reliability of power system and the basic cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) are described. In this paper, the human reliability analysis model used in nuclear industry is taken as a reference. According to power system operation characteristics and existing security related rules and regulations, the detailed rules of nine types of common performance conditions (CPC) are given. And a quantitative approach for power system operation reliability based on (CREAM) is proposed. Case analysis of switching operation in some substation under different conditions verifies the accuracy of the proposed model.

关键词

人为可靠性/认知可靠性和失误分析模型/模糊集合/层次分析法/倒闸操作

Key words

human reliability/cognitive reliability and error analysis method/fuzzy set/analytic hierarchy process/switching operation

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

陆海波,王媚,郭创新,俞斌..基于CREAM的电网人为可靠性定量分析方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2013,(5):37-42,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51177143) (51177143)

国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(2011AA05A120) (863计划)

教育部博士点基金资助项目(20090101110058) (20090101110058)

电力系统保护与控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-3415

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