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基于人体舒适度指数的配电网短期负荷预测方法

张伟

电力系统保护与控制Issue(9):74-79,6.
电力系统保护与控制Issue(9):74-79,6.

基于人体舒适度指数的配电网短期负荷预测方法

A distribution short-term load forecasting based on human comfort index

张伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 积成电子股份有限公司,山东济南250100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A short-term load forecasting method is made based on the load curve shape similarity and human comfort index for distribution load characteristics. The characteristics of the load curve shape similarity are researched. Based on the expectation of each moment load difference, a load curve shape similarity calculation method is given. Based on the impact of meteorological factors on the load, a human comfort index is introduced, and according to the daily maximum temperature and minimum temperature, the similarity calculation method of a day human comfort index is given. According to the distribution load type characteristics, the load change characteristics of various types are researched on holidays and normal working days. Combining these features, this paper gives a distribution network short term load forecasting method, and discusses the method and its steps in detail. Nine days of historical data and weather data of a distribution network power point are taken as examples to verify the feasibility of the proposed method.

关键词

配电网/短期负荷预测/形状相似度/人体舒适度指数/气象因素

Key words

distribution network/short-term load forecasting/shape similarity/human comfort index/meteorological factors

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

张伟..基于人体舒适度指数的配电网短期负荷预测方法[J].电力系统保护与控制,2013,(9):74-79,6.

电力系统保护与控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1674-3415

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