电力系统保护与控制Issue(14)：1-6,6.
考虑光伏出力与负荷相关性的光伏电站容量可信度评估
Photovoltaic power capacity credit evaluation model considering the correlation between photovoltaic power generation and system load
摘要
Abstract
Photovoltaic power generation (PPG) capacity credit is an important index for evaluating the contributions of photovoltaic power on system reliability. A novel calculation method for PPG capacity credit is presented considering the correlation between output of photovoltaic power and load. The method firstly presents a time-interval based output model of PPG for day-mode and night-mode, then constructs a joint multi-state model, which can be used to characterize the correlation between the output of PPG and load, using a discrete joint probability distribution, and finally calculates the system reliability indices and capacity credit of PPG using the non-sequential Monte Carlo simulation method. Based on equivalent LOLE and LOEE criterion, the capacity credit of the RBTS test system containing PPG is analyzed. The results indicate the validity and practicability of the proposed model. This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51077135) and National High-tech R&D Program of China (863 Program) (No. 2011AA05A107).关键词
光伏发电/容量可信度/可靠性/联合概率分布Key words
photovoltaic power generation/capacity credit/reliability/joint probability distribution分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
高英,谢开贵,胡博,李玉敦..考虑光伏出力与负荷相关性的光伏电站容量可信度评估[J].电力系统保护与控制,2013,(14):1-6,6.基金项目
国家863高技术基金项目(2011AA05A107)；国家自然科学基金项目(51077135)；重庆市杰出青年基金项目(CSTC2010BA3006)；重庆市自然科学基金 （2011AA05A107）
