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人民币汇率波动、FDI流入对江西出口贸易结构影响——基于1994—2013年统计数据的时间系列分析

侯俊华 余飞

科技广场Issue(8):210-215,6.
科技广场Issue(8):210-215,6.

人民币汇率波动、FDI流入对江西出口贸易结构影响——基于1994—2013年统计数据的时间系列分析

Study on the Influence of RMB Exchange Rate, FDI transfer on Export Trade Structure in Jiangxi Province - Based on Time Series Analysis of Data from 1994 and 2013

侯俊华 1余飞1

作者信息

  • 1. 东华理工大学经济管理学院地质资源经济与管理研究中心,江西 抚州 344000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the annual data from 1994 to 2013, the paper carries on the correlation analysis, stationar-ity test and cointegration test between RMB exchange rate, FDI inflows, and the variables of the trade structure of Jiangxi Province by using Eviews statistical software. The paper analyzes the RMB exchange rate and FDI inflows in Jiangxi Province on the trade structure optimization. The results show that FDI inflows have played an impor-tant role in the optimization of the trade structure in Jiangxi Province, and this relationship is long-term and stable, which reflects that the FDI optimizes the structure of export trade. However, the rise in the exchange rate for the overall export is negative, while the exchange rate reform promotes the export trade. The reform is mainly through the impact on processing trade, and has nearly no impact on the general trade.

关键词

人民币汇率波动/江西省FDI流入/贸易结构优化/ADF单位根检验/协整检验

Key words

Fluctuations of RMB Exchange Rate/FDI Inflows in Jiangxi Province/Trade Structure Optimiza-tion/ADF Unit Root Test/Co-Integration Test

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

侯俊华,余飞..人民币汇率波动、FDI流入对江西出口贸易结构影响——基于1994—2013年统计数据的时间系列分析[J].科技广场,2015,(8):210-215,6.

基金项目

江西省社会科学规划项目(编号:12YJ49) (编号:12YJ49)

科技广场

1671-4792

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