福建省城镇居民可支配收入与消费支出关系的动态计量分析OACHSSCD
Analysis of Dynamic Econometric Relationship between Disposable Income and Consumption Expenditure of Fujian Urban Residents
以福建省为例，利用协整理论和1995-2011年间的城镇居民可支配收入和人均消费支出数据，构建了误差修正模型，对两者之间的关系进行了动态计量分析。结果表明，城镇居民可支配收入和消费支出存在协整关系，居民的消费行为受到可支配收入的明显影响，同时，前一期的误差对当期的消费出也有着显著作用。此外，由于福建省的低水平社会福利导致了居民的预储蓄行为，这就需要加大调整力度将居民可支配收入与消费支出之间的非均衡状态拉回到长期均衡状态。
Based on the data about disposable income and per capita consumption expenditure from 1995 to 2011,the paper establishes error correction model and analyzes the dynamic econometric relationship between disposable income and consumption expenditure of Fujian urban residents with the application of the co-integration theory. The analysis shows that there exists a co-integration relationship between disposable income and consumption expenditure,and urban reside…查看全部>>
陈长奎
福建师范大学 经济学院，福州 350108
数学
可支配收入消费支出协整误差修正
disposable incomeconsumption expenditurestabilityGranger Causality Testco-integration analysis
《宁波职业技术学院学报》 2013 (4)
86-89,4
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