南水北调与水利科技Issue(1)：17-22,6.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1201.2013.01017
永定河流域径流变化特征及影响因素分析
Analysis of Variation Characteristics of Runoff and Their Influencing Factors in the Yongding River Basin
摘要
Abstract
The Mann2kendall test, Pettitt test, Moving2T test, and Wavelet analysis were applied to analyze the trend, periodicit y, and mutation of annual runoff in the Yongding River Basin according to the annual runoff data at the Shixiali, Xiangshuibao, and Guanting reservoir stations from 1956 to 2003, and the influencing factors w ere also discussed from the aspects of climat e change and human activit ies. The results show ed that ( 1) the annual runoff in the Yonding River Basin decreases significant ly from 1956 to 2003, and 27( 28) is the first major period while 20( 21) is the second major period;and ( 2) the annual runoff varies abruptly in 198221983. The variation of runoff was mainly caused by human activities, such as land utilization, gate dam construction, and groundwater overexploitation. Meanw hile, climate change has also effects on the variation of runoff to some extent.关键词
永定河/年径流量/趋势变化/周期变化/突变点/影响因素Key words
Yongding River/annual runoff/trend change/periodic variation/breakpoint/influencing factors分类
地球科学引用本文复制引用
丁爱中,赵银军,郝弟,张淑荣,乔光建..永定河流域径流变化特征及影响因素分析[J].南水北调与水利科技,2013,(1):17-22,6.基金项目
北京师范大学自主科研基金(2009SD227) （2009SD227）
北部湾环境演变与资源利用省部共建教育部重点实验室( BBG1109) （ BBG1109）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金 （）
