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基于多分类器融合的上市公司产品伤害事件风险预警系统

王德鲁 郑建萍 马刚

情报杂志Issue(9):40-46,7.
情报杂志Issue(9):40-46,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2015.09.010

基于多分类器融合的上市公司产品伤害事件风险预警系统

Early Warning System of Listing Company Product-harm Events Based on Multiple Classifiers Fusion

王德鲁 1郑建萍 1马刚1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国矿业大学经济与管理复杂性研究所 徐州 221116
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In this paper, we build early warning of risk-prediction index system of product-harm from four dimensions, such as initial features of the event, emergency decision risk of the enterprise, aggressive behavior risk of the public and adaptability of business system . Meanwhile, the risk level of product-harm events was divided into four grades used fuzzy classification method. In order to resolve the defects of current warning methods, a multiple classifiers fusion model was presented to base on self-organize data mining for risk predic-tion of product-harm events. The empirical research shows that the proposed model is improving average predictive accuracy and reducing variation degree compared with the six wildly used single classification model ( eg. logistic regression, neural network and support vector machine) .

关键词

产品伤害/风险预警/预警指标/风险评估/多分类器/上市公司

Key words

product-harm/risk warning/warning index/risk assessment/multiple classifiers/listed companies

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王德鲁,郑建萍,马刚..基于多分类器融合的上市公司产品伤害事件风险预警系统[J].情报杂志,2015,(9):40-46,7.

基金项目

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助“基于行为的企业突发事件演化机理及管理对策”(编号:2013RC21)。 (编号:2013RC21)

情报杂志

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-1965

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