气象科技进展Issue(5)：33-42,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2015.05.004
热带气旋集合预报技术的应用情况简介
A Review on Applications of Tropical Cyclones Ensemble Prediction Technologies
摘要
Abstract
The development and advancement of numerical ensemble prediction technologies have improved tropical cyclone (TC) ensemble forecasts and their applications. TC ensemble forecast has played a more and more important role in TC routine operations. This paper summarizes the TC ensemble prediction systems of ECMWF, NCEP, JMA AND CMA, overviews the applications of TC ensemble prediction on TC’ track, intensity, precipitation and genesis forecasts etc., and looks into the future development and application of TC ensemble predictions.关键词
热带气旋/集合预报/路径预报Key words
tropical cyclone/numerical ensemble prediction/track forecast引用本文复制引用
沈越婷,钱传海,李泽椿,范广洲..热带气旋集合预报技术的应用情况简介[J].气象科技进展,2015,(5):33-42,10.基金项目
资助信息中国气象局2013年小型基建项目“灾害性天气预报业务系统的改进与升级（二期）-台风监测预报业务改进” （）
