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水电工程移民全寿命期风险评价研究

江新 朱沛文 杨胜武

人民长江Issue(22):112-115,4.
人民长江Issue(22):112-115,4.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2015.22.026

水电工程移民全寿命期风险评价研究

Research on risk evaluation of lifecycle of hydropower engineering resettlement

江新 1朱沛文 2杨胜武1

作者信息

  • 1. 三峡大学 水利与环境学院,湖北 宜昌443002
  • 2. 湖北省水电工程施工与管理重点实验室 三峡大学,湖北 宜昌443002
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to evaluate the risk of hydropower engineering resettlement, a lifecycle risk evaluation index system for hy-dropower engineering resettlement with three stages of planning and design, resettlement implementation and later supporting is built. The ANP is used to determine the weight of each evaluation index, and the lifecycle risk evaluation model of hydropower engineering resettlement on the basis of cloud barycenter is proposed. The model realizes the mapping from the decision making of experts to the qualitative concepts, adopts the cloud generator of qualitative evaluation to define the risk levels of the lifecycle hy-dropower engineering resettlement. Thus it can improve the risk evaluation of fitting and prediction precision. The feasibility and effectiveness of the evaluation method are verified through example analysis.

关键词

风险评价/云重心/网络层次分析法( ANP)/水电工程移民

Key words

risk evaluation/cloud barycenter/analytic network process ( ANP)/hydropower engineering resettlement

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

江新,朱沛文,杨胜武..水电工程移民全寿命期风险评价研究[J].人民长江,2015,(22):112-115,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金“水电工程施工事故发展的网络行为范式研究”(51379110) (51379110)

水电工程施工与管理湖北省重点实验室(三峡大学)开放基金“大型水电工程项目群风险动态演化机理研究(2014KSD05)” (三峡大学)

人民长江

OA北大核心

1001-4179

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