石家庄经济学院学报Issue(3):53-59,7.
我国建筑业碳排放灰色斜率关联及情景预测研究
Analysis on the Grey Slope-Correlation of Construction Industry and Scene Prediction in China
摘要
Abstract
Construction industry has become the new pillar industries and economic growth point after the industrial , agricultural and commercial industry .The paper calculates the carbon emission of construction industry from 1996 to 2010 .Then the grey slope-correlation of carbon emission , GDP index and total energy consumption is calculated . The results indicate that the degrees of grey slope-correlation are more than 90%between carbon emission , GDP in-dex and total energy consumption .Finally, the Kaya formula is employed to predict the scene of carbon emission of construction industry from 2011-2020 .Some corresponding advices are given out .关键词
建筑业碳排放/灰色斜率关联度/Kaya公式/情景预测Key words
carbon emission of construction industry/degree of grey slope correlation/Kaya formula/scene predic-tion分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
王怡..我国建筑业碳排放灰色斜率关联及情景预测研究[J].石家庄经济学院学报,2013,(3):53-59,7.基金项目
国家社科基金项目“低碳经济下的我国政府环境规制研究”(10CGL053);黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学项目“环境规制、技术创新与黑龙江省区域经济可持续发展动力系统和路径研究”(12522006);黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目“油气资源型城市低碳生态城市建设研究---以黑龙江省大庆市为例”。 ()