水利水电科技进展Issue(6)：105-112,8.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1006-7647.2015.06.020
水文模型参数敏感性分析方法评述
Review of methods of parameter sensitivity analysis in hydrologic modeling
摘要
Abstract
With a focus on many problems that exist in parameter sensitivity analysis, this paper first analyzes the model construction of hydrological model parameter sensitivity analysis and the main functions in the process of its application. This paper also focuses on the relationship between uncertainty analysis and parameter optimization. Three methods of classification of sensitivity analysis are summarized. Four key technological methods of analysis commonly used in hydrological models are discussed. The four key technological methods include the Morris screening method, regression-based analysis, the variance-based method, and surrogate modeling approaches. At the same time, we discuss the applicable conditions for different approaches in hydrological models, summarize the advantages and disadvantages of various methods, and review the research status of various methods used in the hydrological model. In addition, a synthesized evaluation framework for sensitivity analysis for hydrological modeling is introduced. Several future research issues are also proposed.关键词
水文模型/敏感性分析/参数识别/不确定性分析/参数优化Key words
hydrological model/sensitivity analysis/parameter identification/uncertainty analysis/parameter optimization分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
宋晓猛,张建云,占车生,王小军,刘翠善..水文模型参数敏感性分析方法评述[J].水利水电科技进展,2015,(6):105-112,8.基金项目
国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2010CB951103) （973计划）
国家科技重大专项(2014ZX07204-006) （2014ZX07204-006）
国家自然科学基金(51309155) （51309155）
