水利学报Issue(3)：327-335,9.
太湖流域未来洪水风险及土地风险管理减灾效益评估
The flood risk and flood alleviation benefit of land use management in Taihu Basin
摘要
Abstract
Affected by rapid urbanization and the global warming,the features of flood have been and will be changed significantly in China. Land use risk management is an important measure to restrain the grow⁃ing flood risk. Taking the Taihu Basin as an example, a flood management benefit assessment model has been established. The future flood risk, the benefit of land use risk management and the integrated flood management measures are evaluated. The results reveal that by 2050 the flood risk in the Taihu Basin will increase by 4~15 times under different climate change and socio-economic scenario. The land use manage⁃ment will decrease the future flood risk by 39%~50%,while the integrated measures may decrease the fu⁃ture flood risk by 70%~74%. Based on the results, some suggestions are made for adjusting the strategic planning of flood management in the Taihu Basin.关键词
洪水管理/风险分析/土地利用/效益评估Key words
flood management/risk analysis/land use/benefit assessment分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
王艳艳,韩松,喻朝庆,胡昌伟..太湖流域未来洪水风险及土地风险管理减灾效益评估[J].水利学报,2013,(3):327-335,9.基金项目
科技部国际合作重大项目(2006DFA71390) （2006DFA71390）
国家自然科学基金创新研究群体基金项目(51021006) （51021006）
“十二五”国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2012BAC21B02) （2012BAC21B02）
水利部公益性行业科研专项(201101053) （201101053）
