西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）Issue(5)：6-9,4.
天然气产量预测的优化组合模型及其应用
Optimizing Combination Model of Natural Gas Production Prediction and Its Application
摘要
Abstract
Rational prediction for natural gas production decides the benefits of gas field development, and the scientificity and rationality of oil field developing plan. Therefore,the forecasts for our natural gas pro-duction in the future was made based on the optimizing combination model of the natural gas production from 2001 to 2011 in our country. Then comparied with the predicted gas production result of the linear regression, BP neural network,and the gray theory,it was proved that optimization combination model can predict gas pro-duction scientifically,thus can provide theoretical basis and reference frame for the accurate prediction of gas production in our country.关键词
天然气产量/预测误差/BP 神经网络/优化组合模型Key words
natural gas production/prediction errors/BP neural network/optimizing combination predic-tion model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王俊奇,郑欣..天然气产量预测的优化组合模型及其应用[J].西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2015,(5):6-9,4.基金项目
陕西省社会科学基金项目（2014D19）；教育部人文社科类规划基金项目（10YJA790185）。 （）
