农业展望Issue(10):12-17,6.
2014/15榨季国内外食糖市场回顾与2015/16榨季展望
Domestic and Foreign Sugar Markets in 2014/15 Crushing Season and Their Prospects for 2015/16 Crushing Season
摘要
Abstract
China suffered a decline in both sugar production and sales in 2014/15 crushing season. The total sugar output dropped by 20.74 percent to 10.556 million tons and the sales volume dropped by 14.16 percent to 8.793 million tons. Recently, the planting area of sugar crops has decreased year by year, and it was part of the production cycle of decline in 2015. The state regulation and management measures for sugar imports were deployed, and a temporary policy of the 3 million tons of local sugar industry reserves was implemented. In the future, sugar price will probably increase in a stable trend, due to the long-time inventory decline. There is still a supply surplus in international sugar market in 2014/15 crushing season, while in the next period, the supply and demand situation may reverse. However, because of various factors, the sugar price trend may hardly change in the short term. Sugar industries should focus on such factors, the climate of main producing countries such as Brazil and India, the ratio of sugar to alcohol in Brazil, the real price of real against the dollar, the import and export policies changes of India and the macro economy.关键词
食糖/价格/国内外/产量/供需/产销率/政策Key words
sugar/price/at home and abroad/production/supply and demand/rate of production &marketing/policy引用本文复制引用
刘晓雪,张宸,宋杰..2014/15榨季国内外食糖市场回顾与2015/16榨季展望[J].农业展望,2015,(10):12-17,6.基金项目
农业部、财政部现代农业(甘蔗)产业技术体系建设专项资金(CARS-20-11B);教育部人文社科青年基金项目(13YJC790097);国际农业研究体系“糖料市场、贸易及产业政策研究” (甘蔗)