巢湖学院学报2015，Vol.17Issue(6)：67-71,5.
组合预测模型在短期风电功率预测中的应用研究
RESEARCH ON THE APPLICATION OF COMBINATION PREDICTION MODEL TO SHORT-TERM WIND POWER PREDICTION
摘要
Abstract
In order to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power, in this paper, combination prediction model is applied based on the ARIMA and SVW model. The minimum variance method is adopted to achieve the weight coefficient, and the combination prediction is built for wind power prediction. Finally, the results show that: compared with the predicting outcomes of each single model, the combination model has higher accuracy.关键词
风电功率预测/组合预测/最小方差法/支持向量机Key words
wind power prediction/combination prediction model/minimum variance method/SVM分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
王静,孙仙,唐静,方愿捷..组合预测模型在短期风电功率预测中的应用研究[J].巢湖学院学报,2015,17(6):67-71,5.基金项目
巢湖学院自然科学基金项目(项目编号:XLY-201302) （项目编号:XLY-201302）
安徽省教育厅自然科学研究重点项目(项目编号:KJ2014A173) （项目编号:KJ2014A173）
