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基于投入产出方法的气象服务综合经济效益评估

吴亚玲 吴先华 郭际 陈云峰

南京信息工程大学学报Issue(6):525-533,9.
南京信息工程大学学报Issue(6):525-533,9.

基于投入产出方法的气象服务综合经济效益评估

Calculation of indirect and complete economic benefits of weather service based on input-output model

吴亚玲 1吴先华 2郭际 2陈云峰3

作者信息

  • 1. 深圳市国家气候观象台,深圳,518040
  • 2. 南京信息工程大学 气候与气象灾害协同创新中心,南京,210044
  • 3. 中国气象局气象宣传与科普中心,北京,100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

How to evaluate the integrated economic benefits of weather service is an important and difficult issue. The definitions and calculations of direct economic benefit,relevant economic benefit,indirect economic benefit and complete economic benefit are introduced,then the evaluation models for weather service are proposed based on the input⁃output model,consumption factor and Leontief inverse matrix.The Shenzhen�s weather service in 2012 is taken as an example to test the proposed evaluation model,which leads to some interesting and meaningful conclusions. Due to the internal relevance within industrial system,the weather service brings great relevant economic benefit,in⁃direct economic benefit as well as complete economic benefit to economic development,which deserves more social attention and consideration.The ratio of complete economic benefit versus meteorological input ranges from 134�34∶1 to 228�378∶1 for Shenzhen�s weather service,significantly higher than previous result of 30∶1⁃51∶1. The ratio of output versus input is relatively low in conventional industries such as agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery and building industry,yet it is high in new industries such as research & experimental development service,sci⁃technology exchange and promotion service, business service, resident service, telecommunication & information transmission,and computer service,which are also the key service targets for future meteorological development.

关键词

气象服务效益/直接经济效益/关联经济效益/间接经济效益/完全经济效益/投入产出

Key words

weather service benefit/direct economic benefit/relevant economic benefit/indirect economic benefit/complete economic benefit/input-output model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

吴亚玲,吴先华,郭际,陈云峰..基于投入产出方法的气象服务综合经济效益评估[J].南京信息工程大学学报,2015,(6):525-533,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(71373131,71140014,71410307025,91546117);国家软科学计划(2011GXQ4B025);公益性行业科研专项(GYHY200806017,GYHY201506051);国家社科基金(11CGL100);江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目 ()

南京信息工程大学学报

1674-7070

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