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冬季咳嗽与秋季气象因子的相关性探讨

张天星 郝宇 贺娟

北京中医药大学学报Issue(2):119-121,3.
北京中医药大学学报Issue(2):119-121,3.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-2157.2016.02.006

冬季咳嗽与秋季气象因子的相关性探讨

Correlation between meteorological factors in autumn and cough in winter

张天星 1郝宇 1贺娟1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京中医药大学基础医学院 北京100029
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To analyze the relationship between meteorological factors in autumn and inci-dence of cough ( pulmonary infection) in winter, and establish regression forecast equations to estimate pulmonary infection incidence in Beijing. Methods 1 093 case records of pulmonary infection from 1999 to 2011 were collected from Beijing Dongzhimen Hospital and data of meteorological factors ( inclu-ding daily average temperature, wind speed, precipitation, relative humidity, and vapor pressure) during the same period were also collected from Beijing Meteorological Observatory. The Spearman correlation and stepwise multiple regression were adopted to analyze the data. Results The incidence of pulmonary infection was related to average temperature and average vapor pressure in autumn. Average vapor pres-sure and average wind speed in autumn were elected into the equation. The equation was Y= -424. 971+45. 117X1 -76. 290X2(X1 stands for average vapor pressure while X2 stands for average wind speed). Conclusion The incidence of pulmonary infection in winter in Beijing area was related to average vapor pressure and average wind speed in autumn, which verifies the theory in Huangdi Neijing ( Huangdi’ s Internal Classic) that damp pathogens ( shi xie) in autumn can lead to occurrence of cough in winter.

关键词

冬季咳嗽/肺部感染/疾病与气象

Key words

cough in winter/pulmonary infection/disease and meteorology

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

张天星,郝宇,贺娟..冬季咳嗽与秋季气象因子的相关性探讨[J].北京中医药大学学报,2016,(2):119-121,3.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(No.81273874) (No.81273874)

北京中医药大学学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1006-2157

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