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江淮对流云人工增雨作业效果检验个例分析

贾烁 姚展予

气象Issue(2):238-245,8.
气象Issue(2):238-245,8.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.02.012

江淮对流云人工增雨作业效果检验个例分析

Case Study on the Convective Clouds Seeding Effects in Yangtze-Huaihe Region

贾烁 1姚展予1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国气象科学研究院中国气象局云雾物理重点开放实验室,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Convective clouds in Yangtze-Huaihe Region are the main seeding objects of precipitation en-hancement experiments in Anhui Province in summer.Unrandomized seeding operations are usually adopt-ed using rocket launchers,artilleries or ground generators,rather than the randomized trials through strict test design due to some limited condition.Convective clouds have characteristics of short life span and con-siderable large local and natural variations,which add great difficulties to the objective,scientific and quantitative evaluation of the operation effects.Based on daily rainfall data of national ground stations of Anhui Province and SA Doppler Radar data of the operation areas,this paper makes a case study on the seeding effects of convective clouds in Yangtze-Huaihe Region from 28 to 30 June 2012 with combination of regional historical regression statistical analysis and physical test method using Doppler Radar identifica-tion and track of cloud seeding.The results indicate that the rainfall of target area increases 37.2 mm and obtains an enhancement rate of 65.19% after seeding,with a significant level α<0.1.We identify and track seeded units according to the radar data,define appropriate control units and then compare the radar echo parameters of seeded units and control units before and after operation to give physical evidence of the operation effects.

关键词

对流云/增雨作业/统计检验/物理检验

Key words

convective cloud/precipitation enhancement/statistical evaluation/physical test

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

贾烁,姚展予..江淮对流云人工增雨作业效果检验个例分析[J].气象,2016,(2):238-245,8.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(41375135)及公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306040和 GYHY201406033)共同资助 ()

气象

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-0526

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