灾害学Issue(1)：1-6,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2016.01.001
自然灾害动态风险评估的一种基本模式
A Basic Mode for Dynamic Risk Assessment of Natural Disaster
摘要
Abstract
As scenarios of adverse events might occur in the future,the uncertainty of natural disaster risk is mainly reflected in its systematic and dynamic changing features.From the view of systemic and temporal dynamic, it summarizes the basic content for dynamic risk assessment of natural disasters,which refer five parts including time constrained conditions for disaster risk assessment,dynamic analysis on hazard,dynamic analysis on disaster bearing-body,risk coupling calculating and scenario output etc.It gives a basic mode for dynamic risk assessment of natural disaster.关键词
自然灾害/动态风险评估/致灾因子/承灾体/情景分析Key words
natural disaster/dynamic risk assessment/disaster causing factor/disaster bearing-body/sce-nario analysis分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
庞西磊,黄崇福,张英菊..自然灾害动态风险评估的一种基本模式[J].灾害学,2016,(1):1-6,6.基金项目
国家社科基金青年项目“生态文明视角下环境突发事件应急管理问题研究”（13CGL134）；大连行政学院学科建设项目“地方政府应急管理体系建设研究---以大连市政府为视角” （）
