灾害学Issue(1)：7-10,16,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2016.01.002
滑坡概率在边坡稳定性分析中的应用
Probability of Landslide in the Application of Slope Stability Analysis
摘要
Abstract
By using logistic regression models and deterministic coefficient CF,we establish a landslide prob-ability forecasting model for slope stability analysis.Combined with 42 slope cases of ionic rare earth mine in Gan-nan,we select 5 influence factors as severe,cohesive force,internal friction angle,slope angle and pore pressure ratio as input,and slope state as output,regression analysis is done by SPSS software,and a credible landslide probability fitting function is got.We feedback the forecast model and analysis results to the sample data,sample data input value and predicted value difference under 10% of more than 95%,illustrates the rationality of the fore-casting model;Accurately predicting the nine rare earth mine slope stability shows the accuracy of the prediction model.The difference between the sample data input value and the forecast value below 10% is more than 95%, explained the rationality of the forecasting model.The stability of 9 rare earth mines is predicted and the accuracy of the prediction model is explained.关键词
滑坡概率/边坡稳定性/确定性系数 CF/逻辑回归模型/SPSSKey words
landslide probability/slope stability/deterministic coefficient CF/logistic regression models/SPSS分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
饶运章,张学焱,李雪珍,黄永刚,张永胜..滑坡概率在边坡稳定性分析中的应用[J].灾害学,2016,(1):7-10,16,5.基金项目
国家高技术研究发展计划（“863”计划）项目（2012AA061901）；2011年度江西省安全生产重大课题 （）
