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多目标决策模型下洱海流域产业结构优化

孙颖 朱丽霞 丁秋贤 余斌

农业现代化研究2016,Vol.37Issue(2):247-254,8.
农业现代化研究2016,Vol.37Issue(2):247-254,8.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2016.0013

多目标决策模型下洱海流域产业结构优化

Optimization of the industry structure based on a multi-objective decision model in Erhai watershed

孙颖 1朱丽霞 2丁秋贤 1余斌2

作者信息

  • 1. 华中师范大学 地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,湖北武汉430079
  • 2. 华中师范大学 城市与环境科学学院,湖北武汉430079
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

How to optimize the industrial structure without slowing down the development speed and increasing pollution is a key issue for the underdeveloped areas. Based on the water carrying capacity in Erhai watershed and the optimization theory and applying a multi-objective dynamic programming model, this paper seeks to identify the total amount target of major pollutants and the optimal resource distribution model to balance both social economic structure and economic development. Results show that the balanced growth-oriented scenario is suitable for socio-economic development program in Erhai watershed, in which not only the emissions of pollutants can be effectively controlled, but also the economic stability and development can be maintained in short, medium and long terms. This research provides a theoretical support for sustainable development policies of Erhai region such as establishing leading industries, improving industry structural adjustment, enhancing industry integrations, etc.

关键词

多目标决策/水环境/产业结构/水污染防治/洱海流域

Key words

multi-objective decision model/water environment/industrial structure/water pollution control/Erhai watershed

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

孙颖,朱丽霞,丁秋贤,余斌..多目标决策模型下洱海流域产业结构优化[J].农业现代化研究,2016,37(2):247-254,8.

基金项目

国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项洱海项目(2013ZX07105-005-04)。@@@@The National Water Pollution Control and Treatment Science and Technology Major Project (Erhai Lake Part)(2013ZX07105-005-04) (Erhai Lake Part)

农业现代化研究

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSCDCSTPCD

1000-0275

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