运筹与管理2016，Vol.25Issue(1)：76-84,9.DOI:10.12005/orms.2016.0010
城市拆迁群体性事件演化机理的多情景演化博弈分析
Multi-scenario Evolutionary Game Analysis of Evolutionary Mechanism in Urban Demolition Mass Incident
摘要
Abstract
In the conflict of urban public welfare demolition , local government may choose the multiple methods including reasonable compensation or forced demolition considering the record of achievements , and dismantled households may take the complex behaviors including reasonable appeals for their damaged benefit or radical ac -tion driven by the escalated psychology .Through integrated evolutionary game model with scenario hypothesis of urban demolition problem , the paper researches the various conflict evolutionary results and the influence factors between local governments and dismantled households .The results show that the occurrence probability of urban demolition mass incident should depend on a series of complex influences .Some important influences on the occurrence probability are not the simple linear relationship .Especially , there is an optimal sharing proportion of demolition cost-benefit between the local government and the dismantled households .关键词
应急管理/演化机理/演化博弈/公益性拆迁/群体性突发事件/情景分析Key words
emergency management/evolutionary mechanism/evolutionary game/public welfare demolition/mass incident/scenario analysis分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘德海,韩呈军,尹丽娟..城市拆迁群体性事件演化机理的多情景演化博弈分析[J].运筹与管理,2016,25(1):76-84,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目（71571033，71171035，71271045）；东北财经大学学科建设支持计划特色学科项目 （）
