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地质灾害保费及其实证研究--以湖南省娄底市为例

欧阳迪飞 谷玉 甘柳 李应求

灾害学2016,Vol.31Issue(2):106-110,5.
灾害学2016,Vol.31Issue(2):106-110,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2016.02.021

地质灾害保费及其实证研究--以湖南省娄底市为例

Geological Hazard Premium and its Empirical Study-A Case Study of Loudi City in Hunan Province

欧阳迪飞 1谷玉 1甘柳 2李应求1

作者信息

  • 1. 长沙理工大学 数学与计算科学学院,湖南 长沙 410004
  • 2. 湖南商学院 财政金融学院,湖南 长沙 410205
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Risk losses of geological disasters are simulated by stochastic simulation technique.Using the Val-ue at risk (VaR)method to calculate premium scale in each risk area,and in order to study geological disaster in-surance prices,we use the control variable method to research the insured rate influence on the price of insurance. The empirical study takes the geological disaster loss of as the research sample in Loudi City during 2008 -2013. By calculating the total premium and the premium per capita in the risk area and the results show that the premium is acceptable.At the same time,it can reflect the risk and the higher the risk,the higher the premium.Insurance rate is one of the important factors that affect the premium.The premium rate increase with the rate.

关键词

地质灾害/保费/在险价值/VaR 方法/随机模拟

Key words

geological hazard/premium/value at risk/VaR method/stochastic simulation

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引用本文复制引用

欧阳迪飞,谷玉,甘柳,李应求..地质灾害保费及其实证研究--以湖南省娄底市为例[J].灾害学,2016,31(2):106-110,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(11571052,11171044);湖南省国土资源科技项目(2013-28);长沙理工大学研究生科研创新项目 ()

灾害学

OACSCDCSTPCD

1000-811X

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