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基于模糊综合评价法的泥石流风险评价

沈简 饶军 傅旭东

灾害学2016,Vol.31Issue(2):171-175,5.
灾害学2016,Vol.31Issue(2):171-175,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2016.02.033

基于模糊综合评价法的泥石流风险评价

Assessment on Debris Flow Risk based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

沈简 1饶军 1傅旭东1

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉大学 土木建筑工程学院,湖北 武汉 430072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Vulnerable degree factors are added into the existing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of deb-ris flow risk to establish for the first time the comprehensive evaluation model of debris flow risk ambiguity.Based on this model,risk assessment is done to five debris flows in Shennongjia Forest Region,and the results show that fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model could be used in debris flow risk assessment.According to the problem———the calculation results of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model can reflect the size of the risk,but is unable to re-flect the risk characteristics,and combing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method with the plane coordinate,a new debris flow risk assessment method———fuzzy coordinate method is put forward.Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation on risk and vulnerability of a debris flow are done by the new method,with the evaluation results as coordinate points, define the distance from coordinates to the origin point as the risk degree,the evaluation results can reflect the risk and performance of vulnerability by using the two-dimensional characteristic of plane coordinate and the specific characteristics of the debris flow risk can be expressed.

关键词

模糊综合评价/泥石流/风险评价/模糊坐标/评价因子

Key words

fuzzy comprehensive evaluation/debris flow/risk assessment/fuzzy coordinate/evaluation factor

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

沈简,饶军,傅旭东..基于模糊综合评价法的泥石流风险评价[J].灾害学,2016,31(2):171-175,5.

基金项目

国家科技支撑计划课题 ()

灾害学

OACSCDCSTPCD

1000-811X

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