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基于 ACARR 模型的布伦特原油价格波动研究

郭名媛 蒲赢健

重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)2016,Vol.30Issue(3):51-56,6.
重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)2016,Vol.30Issue(3):51-56,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(z).2016.03.009

基于 ACARR 模型的布伦特原油价格波动研究

Volatility Analysis of Brent Crude Oil Price Based on ACARR Model

郭名媛 1蒲赢健1

作者信息

  • 1. 天津大学 管理与经济学部,天津 300072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper used ACARR model to study the volatility of Brent crude oil price by analyzing the price range data. We assumed that the residual items of ACARR model follow standard exponential distribution, standard Weibull distribution and standardized generalized Gamma distribution respectively. From the empirical results,we conclude that:firstly,the upside range and downside range of crude oil price don’t follow normal distribution and asymmetry;secondly,both the upside range and downside range of Brent crude oil prices are persistent;Finally,both the upside range and downside range of Brent crude oil prices have stronger long-term impact effect of shocks than short-term impact effect of shocks.

关键词

ACARR模型/布伦特原油/正向极差/负向极差

Key words

ACARR model/Brent crude oil/upside range/downside range

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

郭名媛,蒲赢健..基于 ACARR 模型的布伦特原油价格波动研究[J].重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版),2016,30(3):51-56,6.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金资助项目 ()

重庆理工大学学报(自然科学版)

OACSTPCD

1674-8425

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