水科学进展2016，Vol.27Issue(1)：128-138,11.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2016.01.014
水库群供调水系统实时调度研究
Study of real-time scheduling of reservoir group of supply and water diversion systems
摘要
Abstract
Based on the complex reservoir group of supply and water diversion systems in Dalian, the author advances the framework of a system of real-time scheduling and a coupling structure pattern. This paper considers"total amount of control, coupling nested, multidimensional decision-making, real-time correction" as the core of real-time schedu-ling process. In the aspect of runoff forecasting, this paper proposes the long-term inflow runoff forecast methods of res-ervoir group of supply and water diversion systems based on transcendental probability, combined with mid-GFS nu-merical prediction technology for rolling forecast incoming runoff during the different periods. In terms of a scheduling model, this paper uses the new method based on dynamic programming and conventional modeling to provide a refer-ence for scheduling. A case study shows that this real-time scheduling system implements rolling forecast and a rolling scheduling, which proves that the system can be implemented in real time. In the real-time dispatching system, the macro total control is combined with the local adjustment of the scheduling objective and coupled with the scheduling decisions related to nested features with different time scales, thereby proving the applicability of the system. This re-sult has important reference value for similar systems for real-time scheduling.关键词
水库群/供、调水系统/入库径流预报/需水预报/实时调度/调度流程/大连市Key words
reservoir group/water supply and diversion system/incoming runoff forecast/water demand prediction/real-time scheduling/scheduling process/Dalian分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
孙万光,李成振,姜彪,刘盈斐..水库群供调水系统实时调度研究[J].水科学进展,2016,27(1):128-138,11.基金项目
水利部公益性行业科研专项经费资助项目(201401015) The study is financially supported by the National Non-Profit Research Program of China (No. 201401015) . （201401015）
