南京师大学报（自然科学版）2016，Vol.39Issue(1)：95-100,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-4616.2016.01.017
中国城市化与经济增长关系研究——基于向量自回归模型
Research on the Relationship Between the Urbanization and Economic Growth in China ——Based on the VAR Model
摘要
Abstract
In order to clarify that there is a mutual-influence relationship between the urbanization and economic growth in China,this paper analyzed the indexes of China's urbanization rate and GDP per capita from 1978 to 2012 using the methods of VAR model,Johanson cointegration test,granger causality test,impulse response function and variance de?composition function. The conclusion is consistent:there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between economic growth and urbanization in China,which shows that urbanization index increasing 1%generates the increase in econom?ic growth by 7.35%. Urbanization constitutes the granger cause of economic growth under the significance level of 5%and economic growth has a certain degree of influence on the urbanization,but cannot be the main reason.关键词
城市化/经济增长/VAR模型Key words
urbanization/economic growth/VAR model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
彭鑫,管卫华..中国城市化与经济增长关系研究——基于向量自回归模型[J].南京师大学报（自然科学版）,2016,39(1):95-100,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41271128)、江苏省高校优势学科(地理学)建设工程项目(164320H116). （41271128）
