牡丹江师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）Issue(2)：17-21,26,6.
城市化、农业现代化与粮食进口数量实证研究
The Empirical Analysis of Urbanization,Agricultural Modernization and Grain Import Quantity
摘要
Abstract
The paper analyzes the connections of urbanization、agricultural modernization and grain import quantity based on VAR model.The result suggests that:there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the urbanization、agricultural modernization and grain import quantity at the 5% significance level.Urbanization procession will increase the amount of im-ported grain,Even the agricultural modernization could decrease imported grain amount to some extent,it fails to reverse the tendency of rising imported amount,and the increasing quantity of imported grain will be normality.Compared with the im-ported grain,Domestic grain price lacks comparative advantage,importing grain will have negative effect on our agricultural modernization,but this can be ignored compared with the positive effect produced by the urbanization,so worry that impor-ting grain will hit our agricultural modernization is overblown.Finally,put forward policy suggestions related to future agri-cultural development.关键词
城市化/农业现代化/粮食进口/VARKey words
Urbanization/agricultural modernization/grain import/VAR分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
佟大建,贾彧..城市化、农业现代化与粮食进口数量实证研究[J].牡丹江师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）,2016,(2):17-21,26,6.基金项目
国家社科基金项目（2012BJY049）；西安财经学院创新人才科研经费资助 （）
