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一种电网规划方案决策的灵敏度分析算法

司怀伟 王清心 丁家满

现代电子技术2016,Vol.39Issue(7):149-153,5.
现代电子技术2016,Vol.39Issue(7):149-153,5.DOI:10.16652/j.issn.1004-373x.2016.07.037

一种电网规划方案决策的灵敏度分析算法

A sensitivity analysis algorithm for decision-making of power grid planning scheme

司怀伟 1王清心 1丁家满1

作者信息

  • 1. 昆明理工大学 信息与自动化学院,云南 昆明 650500
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The more uncertainty factors in the scheme decision are particularly important to the sensitivity analysis of the decision results in the uncertain environment. The traditional sensitivity analysis methods often ignore the uncertainty or simply average the deviation error,which results in the deviation of the planning decision or even mistake. For the above problems,a cutting analysis algorithm based on the probability box theory is proposed. The probability box of the uncertainty variables is modeled,and the input decision⁃making equation of each indicator probability box is calculated to obtain the decision cardinal number,then each indicator in the scheme is orderly cut according to the decision cardinal number to obtain its sensitivity. The method was applied to the decision⁃making of the power grid planning scheme. The experimental results show this method has strong practicability.

关键词

灵敏度分析/概率盒/不确定性分析/削减法

Key words

sensitivity analysis/probability box/uncertainty analysis/cutting method

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

司怀伟,王清心,丁家满..一种电网规划方案决策的灵敏度分析算法[J].现代电子技术,2016,39(7):149-153,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51467007);云南省应用基础研究计划资助项目 ()

现代电子技术

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1004-373X

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