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云南夏季降水量在21世纪初的突变减少及原因分析

肖子牛 石文静 段玮

气象2016,Vol.42Issue(3):261-270,10.
气象2016,Vol.42Issue(3):261-270,10.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.3.001

云南夏季降水量在21世纪初的突变减少及原因分析

Abrupt Decrease of Yunnan Summer Rainfall in the Early 2 1 st Century and Its Possible Reasons

肖子牛 1石文静 1段玮2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室 LASG,北京 100029
  • 2. 云南省气象科学研究所,昆明 650034
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the observation data from 125 stations in Yunnan Province,the reanalysis data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research and the monthly extended reconstructed sea surface temperature data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-tration in 1960-2013,the variation of the Yunnan rainfall and its related atmospheric circulation were an-alyzed.Major results are as follows:Yunnan rainfall experienced an abrupt decrease in 2002,which is mainly attributed to the notable reduction of Yunnan summer rainfall.Further analyses verified that the prominent decrease in Yunnan summer rainfall seems to be related to the intensified easterly of lower trop-osphere and strengthened westerly of upper troposphere over tropical Indian Ocean.Besides,the increas-ing temperature of the Asia continent in middle and high latitudes also play an important role in the abrupt decrease of Yunnan summer rainfall.

关键词

云南夏季降水/突变/大气环流/海温

Key words

Yunnan summer rainfall/sudden change/atmospheric circulation/sea surface temperature

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

肖子牛,石文静,段玮..云南夏季降水量在21世纪初的突变减少及原因分析[J].气象,2016,42(3):261-270,10.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41375069、41490642和41205067)共同资助 ()

气象

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-0526

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