气象2016，Vol.42Issue(4)：456-465,10.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.04.009
统计方法在数值模式中应用的若干新进展
Some New Advances in Application of Statistical Methods to Numerical Models
摘要
Abstract
The accuracy of numerical models has been improved continuously and weather forecast and cli-mate prediction rely on numerical models more and more.Numerical models are the equations which de-scribe the motion and thermodynamic processes of the atmosphere.Statistical methods are also widely used to numerical models,becoming important components of numerical models.This paper reviews some new advances in the application of statistical method to numerical models.Firstly,application of statistical methods to data assimilation,ensemble forecast,parameterization of physical processes,statistical inter-pretation,extended-range weather forecasts and model verification for numerical model are analyzed. Then,the latest application of Bayes statistics to numerical models is elaborated.Finally,several impor-tant research trends for future application of statistical methods to numerical models are put forward.关键词
数值模式/统计释用/统计检验/贝叶斯统计/数据挖掘Key words
numerical model/statistical interpretation/statistical verification/Bayes statistics/data mining分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
朱玉祥,黄嘉佑,丁一汇..统计方法在数值模式中应用的若干新进展[J].气象,2016,42(4):456-465,10.基金项目
国家重点基础研究发展计划（973计划）（2012CB957804）、公益性行业（气象）科研专项（GYHY201406020）、国家自然科学基金项目（41305131和41505079）及重庆市博士后项目（渝xm201103028）共同资助 （）
