人民珠江2016，Vol.37Issue(4)：1-6,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2016.04.001
基于 SDSM－SWAT的气候变化下东江流域径流预测模拟
The Prediction of Climatic Change and Runoff Response in the Dongjiang Basin Based on SDSM-SWAT Model
摘要
Abstract
This study investigates the climatic variation and its streamflow response in Dongjiang basin by coupling SDSM (statistical downscaling mode)and SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool).Firstly,based on SDSM model,the future climate date including temperature and precipitation was generated from A2 and B2 scenarios of HadCM3 model from 2011 to2099,which was downscaled to each station in Dongjiang basin.And then,the suitable SWAT was built for modeling the streamflow response under the future climatic change.The study revealed that there would be significant increasing trends for temperature,precipitation and runoff in the future;and the increase rates under A2 scenario are larger than that under B2 scenario.The results can provide some scientific basis for the sus-tainable use of water resources and the integrated watershed management in Dongjiang basin.关键词
气候变化/SWAT/SDSM/HadCM3/东江流域Key words
Climatic Change/SWAT/SDSM/HadCM3/The Dongjiang Basin分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
翟文亮,李朋俊,林凯荣,张凡..基于 SDSM－SWAT的气候变化下东江流域径流预测模拟[J].人民珠江,2016,37(4):1-6,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目资助 （）
