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利率市场化背景下银行系统性危机的实证研究

韩永辉 赵越 陈晓亮

财经理论与实践2016,Vol.37Issue(2):2-8,7.
财经理论与实践2016,Vol.37Issue(2):2-8,7.

利率市场化背景下银行系统性危机的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Interest Rate Liberalization and Banking Systemic Crisis

韩永辉 1赵越 2陈晓亮3

作者信息

  • 1. 广东外语外贸大学 广东国际战略研究院,广东 广州 510420
  • 2. 中山大学 岭南学院,广东 广州 510275
  • 3. 广东金融学院,广东 广州,510520
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In view of the international experience of interest rate liberalization reform,both developed countries and developing countries have met with systemic banking crisis of different levels.In this paper,we adopted a panel data of 42 countries from 1 973 to 2012,empirically tes-ting the relationship between interest rate liberalization and systemic banking crisis,to examine the distress caused by interest rate liberalization to banking system of China.Our research shows that:(1)as the degree of interest rate liberalization increases,the probability of systemic bank-ing crisis rises,this phenomenon appears more distinct in the case of deposit rate liberalization, while stricter bank supervision should be an effective method to reduce banking crisis probability;(2)the establishment of explicit deposit insurance has no effect in guarding against baking sys-temic risk after interest rate liberalization,but appears to increase the likelihood of banking cri-ses;(3)interest rate liberalization during the period of capital account liberalization tends to in-crease the likelihood of banking crises;and (4)allowing bank privatization in the period of liber-alization will not increase likelihood of banking crisis.

关键词

利率市场化/银行系统性危机/金融治理/存款保险制度

Key words

interest rate liberalization/systemic banking crisis/financial governance/deposit insurance system

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

韩永辉,赵越,陈晓亮..利率市场化背景下银行系统性危机的实证研究[J].财经理论与实践,2016,37(2):2-8,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573058)、教育部创新团队发展计划项目(IRT1224)、广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD15YYJ01)、广东外语外贸大学校级青年项目(299-X5122214) (71573058)

财经理论与实践

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1003-7217

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